Challenges of Sustainability of Employer-Based Retirement Healthcare Services in Indonesia: A Longitudinal Analysis of Demographic Transition and Healthcare Costs 2019–2023

Authors

  • Cahya Edi Prastyo Universitas Muhammad Husni Thamrin, Indonesia
  • Dian Meutia Sari Direktorat Jenderal Pengendalian Penyakit, Kementerian kesehatan Republik Indonesia, Indonesia https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7143-5939

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.37012/jik.v18i1.3714

Keywords:

sustainability, retiree healthcare, demographic transition, healthcare expenditure, health financing.

Abstract

Company X continues to provide retiree healthcare benefits to retired employees and their spouses as part of its post-retirement benefits program. However, demographic transition, population ageing, and rising healthcare costs may threaten the sustainability of these employer-sponsored healthcare programs. This study aimed to analyze the sustainability challenges of employer-sponsored retiree healthcare services in terms of demographic transition and changes in healthcare costs. A descriptive comparative longitudinal design was employed using secondary data collected from 2019 to 2023. A total of 61,338 participants were included through total sampling. Data were analyzed using trend analysis and inter-period comparisons. Over the five-year period, the number of active participants declined by 11%, while the mean age increased from 66.11 to 68.51 years. The proportion of new participants decreased from 2.17% to 0.78%, whereas the mortality rate declined to 2.58% in 2023 following the COVID-19 pandemic. Despite the reduction in participants, total healthcare expenditure increased by 24%, while healthcare expenditure per participant rose by 39%, approximately three times higher than the increase in the Indonesian Consumer Price Index over the same period. The sustainability of employer-sponsored retiree healthcare services faces long-term challenges due to population ageing, declining active membership, and healthcare cost growth exceeding national inflation. Long-term sustainability requires appropriate financing strategies, service efficiency, and strengthened promotive and preventive healthcare programs.

References

Bähler, C., Huber, C. A., Brüngger, B., & Reich, O. (2015, 2015/01/22). Multimorbidity, health care utilization and costs in an elderly community-dwelling population: a claims data based observational study. BMC Health Services Research, 15(1), 23. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12913-015-0698-2

Bali, A. S., & Asher, M. G. (2012). Coordinating Healthcare and Pension Policies: An Exploratory Study (ADBI Working Paper Series, Issue. http://www.adbi.org/workingpaper/2012/08/16/5216.coordinating.healthcare.pension.policies/

Feldhaus, I., & Mathauer, I. (2018, Dec 27). Effects of mixed provider payment systems and aligned cost sharing practices on expenditure growth management, efficiency, and equity: a structured review of the literature. BMC Health Serv Res, 18(1), 996. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12913-018-3779-1

Galama, T., & Kapteyn, A. (2011, Sep). Grossman's missing health threshold. J Health Econ, 30(5), 1044-1056. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2011.06.004

Getzen, T. (2013). Health Economics and Financing - 5th Ed. Wiley. https://books.google.co.id/books?id=7MhUEAAAQBAJ

Getzen, T. (2023). Getzen Model of Long-Run Medical Cost Trends Update for 2022 - 2030+ Forecasting in the Time of COVID. Society of Actuaries. https://www.soa.org/resources/research-reports/2022/2023-gretzen-model-update/

Lucifora, C., & Vigani, D. (2018, Dec). Health care utilization at retirement: The role of the opportunity cost of time. Health Economic, 27(12), 2030-2050. https://doi.org/10.1002/hec.3819

McKeown, R. E. (2009, Jul 1). The Epidemiologic Transition: Changing Patterns of Mortality and Population Dynamics. American journal of lifestyle medicine, 3(1 Suppl), 19s-26s. https://doi.org/10.1177/1559827609335350

Mori, T., Hamada, S., Yoshie, S., Jeon, B., Jin, X., Takahashi, H., Iijima, K., Ishizaki, T., & Tamiya, N. (2019, 2019/03/07). The associations of multimorbidity with the sum of annual medical and long-term care expenditures in Japan. BMC Geriatrics, 19(1), 69. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12877-019-1057-7

Omran, A. R. (1998). The epidemiologic transition theory revisited thirty years later. World Health Statistics Quarterly, 51, 99-109.

Pitacco, E. (2014). Health Insurance: Basic Actuarial Models. Springer International Publishing. https://books.google.co.id/books?id=TJ4vBQAAQBAJ

Rokhim, R., Adawiyah, W., & Faradynawati, I. A. A. (2022). The Indonesian Pension System. In H. Lee, G. Nicolini, & M. Cho (Eds.), International Comparison of Pension Systems: An Investigation from Consumers’ Viewpoint (pp. 357-378). Springer Nature Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-6446-6_11

Schieber, G., Baeza, C., Kress, D., & Maier, M. (2006). Financing health systems in the 21st century. In.

Seyedin, H., Afshari, M., Isfahani, P., Hasanzadeh, E., Radinmanesh, M., & Bahador, R. C. (2021). The main factors of supplier-induced demand in health care: A qualitative study. J Educ Health Promot, 10, 49. https://doi.org/10.4103/jehp.jehp_68_20

Soley-Bori, M., Ashworth, M., Bisquera, A., Dodhia, H., Lynch, R., Wang, Y., & Fox-Rushby, J. (2021, Jan). Impact of multimorbidity on healthcare costs and utilisation: a systematic review of the UK literature. British Journal of General Practice, 71(702), e39-e46. https://doi.org/10.3399/bjgp20X713897

Sorenson, C., Drummond, M., & Bhuiyan Khan, B. (2013). Medical technology as a key driver of rising health expenditure: disentangling the relationship. ClinicoEconomics and outcomes research, 5, 223-234. https://doi.org/10.2147/ceor.S39634

Suastika, K., Dwipayana, P., Semadi, M. S., & Kuswardhani, R. A. T. (2012). Age is an Important Risk Factor for Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and Cardiovascular Diseases. In C. Sureka (Ed.), Glucose Tolerance (pp. Ch. 5). IntechOpen. https://doi.org/10.5772/52397

WHO. (2022). Ageing and health. WHO. https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/ageing-and-health

Williams, G., Cylus, J., Roubal, T., Ong, P., & Barber, S. (2019). Sustainable health financing with an ageing population: implications of different revenue raising mechanisms and policy options. World Health Organization. Regional Office for Europe. https://apps.who.int/iris/handle/10665/331977

World Health Organization. (2018). Final report: working group on the inclusion of NCDs in other programmatic areas: WHO global coordination mechanism on the prevention and control of noncommunicable diseases (Working group 3.1 (2016-2017) CC BY-NC-SA 3.0 IGO). https://iris.who.int/handle/10665/312271

Zulman, D. M., Pal Chee, C., Wagner, T. H., Yoon, J., Cohen, D. M., Holmes, T. H., Ritchie, C., & Asch, S. M. (2015). Multimorbidity and healthcare utilisation among high-cost patients in the US Veterans Affairs Health Care System. BMJ Open, 5(4), e007771. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2015-007771

Downloads

Published

2026-03-30

How to Cite

Prastyo, C. E., & Sari, D. M. (2026). Challenges of Sustainability of Employer-Based Retirement Healthcare Services in Indonesia: A Longitudinal Analysis of Demographic Transition and Healthcare Costs 2019–2023. Jurnal Ilmiah Kesehatan, 18(1), 238 – 249. https://doi.org/10.37012/jik.v18i1.3714

Citation Check