The Effect of Changes in Long-Term Liabilities on the Share Price of PT Kalbe Farma Tbk

Abstract

This study aims to examine the effect of long-term liabilities on the stock price of PT Kalbe Farma Tbk during the 2017–2024 period using a simple linear regression approach. The long-term liabilities variable was analyzed to determine its contribution to variations in stock price based on the company’s historical financial data. The results indicate a negative regression coefficient of –1.82849 × 10⁻¹⁰, suggesting that an increase in long-term liabilities tends to be associated with a decline in stock price. However, the p-value of 0.3860 reveals that this relationship is not statistically significant at the 5 percent significance level.  This finding is further supported by the ANOVA results, which show a Significance F value of 0.3860, confirming that the regression model as a whole does not have explanatory power. The coefficient of determination (R Square = 0.0269) demonstrates that only 2.69% of the stock price variability can be attributed to changes in long-term liabilities, while the remaining portion is influenced by other factors such as macroeconomic conditions, market sentiment, and the company’s operational performance. The negative coefficient aligns with capital structure theory, the principle of accounting conservatism, and Signaling Theory, indicating that increases in long-term obligations may raise investors’ perceptions of risk. Nonetheless, the statistical insignificance suggests that long-term liabilities are not a key determinant considered by investors when evaluating the stock price of PT Kalbe Farma Tbk.